Estimating Pure IBNR Counts Using Policy Level Information

Description

PLEASE NOTE: REGISTRATION WILL CLOSE 10 AM ET THE DAY OF THE WEBINAR. DUE TO HIGH VOLUME OF DEMAND, WE ARE ONLY ABLE TO GUARANTEE A SEAT TO THOSE WHO REGISTER 48 HOURS AHEAD OF THE WEBINAR TIME.

In this session we will discuss the modeling method described in the Variance Journal article titled “Policy-Level Unreported Frequency Model for Pure IBNR Estimation.” Recently, there has been increased interest in using individual claim detail to estimate reserves and to understand variability around reserve estimates. The method we describe can aid in the estimation/simulation of pure incurred but not reported (IBNR) from individual claim and policy data. In addition to a point estimate, the method can provide a full distribution of claim emergence, which can be useful for diagnostic tests (i.e., actual versus expected analyses) and to understand reserve variability.

Learning Objectives:

1. Fit a policy level frequency distribution using undeveloped claim count data and use that distribution to simulate pure IBNR claim counts.
2. Adjust policy level frequency distributions for non-homogeneous exposure bases using the concept of a frequency exposure.
3. Fit a report lag distribution using truncated claim count data and identifying which distribution is appropriate for a particular dataset.

Registration Information and Fees

PLEASE NOTE: REGISTRATION WILL CLOSE 10 AM ET THE DAY OF THE WEBINAR

Registration Fees (in U.S. Dollars) Received on/by
September 5, 2024
Received after
September 5, 2024
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Multiple Connections**
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$600 $650

*Multiple Connection Registrations should contact Mallory Peebles directly at
mpeebles@casact.org. The registering party for the Multiple Connection Registration will be responsible for distributing all event details to attending individuals within their company.

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Contributors

  • Drake Landry

    Drake Landry is an Actuarial Director at Liberty Mutual Insurance. He has held roles in Product Management, Capital Modeling, Mergers & Acquisitions, and Actuarial Reserving. He graduated from Boston University in 2016 with a degree in mathematics and is a Fellow of the CAS.

  • Steven Martin

    Steven Martin, FCAS, is an actuary manager at Liberty Mutual Insurance, where he’s held roles in internal reinsurance, ERM and capital management. Prior to Liberty Mutual he worked in pricing roles at AIG and GEICO. He graduated from the University of Maryland, Baltimore County in 2008 with a B.A. in Mathematics and a B.S. in Computer Science.

September 19, 2024
Thu 12:00 PM EDT

Duration 1H 30M

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